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Convexity

Second-order rate sensitivity: the curvature in the price-yield relationship. Captures the fact that bond prices rise more on a yield drop than they fall on an equal yield rise. Always positive for option-free bonds.

When to use: Use alongside modified duration to refine the price-change approximation: ΔP/P ≈ −ModDur × Δy + 0.5 × Conv × (Δy)². The convexity term gets material once yield moves exceed ~50 bps.

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Formula

C=1Pt=1Nm(t/m)(t/m+1/m)CFt(1+y/m)t+2C = \frac{1}{P} \sum_{t=1}^{Nm} \frac{(t/m)(t/m + 1/m) \cdot CF_t}{(1 + y/m)^{t+2}}

Variables

SymbolNameDescriptionUnit
ConvConvexitySecond-order price sensitivity to yield, in years²integer
FFace ValuePar value paid at maturity$
CRCoupon RateAnnual coupon rate as a decimal (e.g. 0.05 for 5%)%
yYieldAnnual yield as a decimal; periodic yield is y/m%
NYears to MaturityYears remaining until the bond maturesyears
mCoupons per YearNumber of coupons paid per year (e.g. 2 for semi-annual)integer

Real-Life Examples

Example 1: Par Bond, 5y, 5%, Semi-Annual

Same 5-year par bond as the duration examples.

Given

F = 1,000CR = 0.05y = 0.05N = 5m = 2

Step-by-Step

1.Periods = 10, periodic rate = 0.025
2.Compute (1/P) × Σ (i/m)(i/m + 1/m) × CF / (1+r)^(i+2) over i = 1..10
3.Convexity ≈ 22.61 years²
Result:22.61

For a 100bp yield change, the convexity contribution is 0.5 × 22.61 × (0.01)² = 0.113% — a small but positive add-on that always works in the bondholder's favor for option-free bonds.

Frequently Asked Questions

Because the price function P(y) is convex — its second derivative is positive. Mathematically: dollar-weighted future cash flows are concave in (1 + y), so price (their PV) is convex in y. Callable bonds break this — their price is concave near the call boundary, giving "negative convexity."

Convexity is in years². The price-change formula squares Δy, so Δy² × Conv gives a dimensionless price-change percentage when Δy is expressed in decimal form.

For long-duration bonds and large yield moves. A 30-year zero has much higher convexity than a 5-year coupon bond, making the second-order term meaningful even for moderate Δy. Convexity also matters for hedging — duration-matched portfolios with different convexities behave differently in big rate moves.