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Sustainable Growth Rate

Maximum growth rate a company can sustain without external financing: ROE multiplied by the retention ratio (1 − payout). Connects dividend policy and capital efficiency to the growth rate input every other valuation formula needs.

When to use: Use to estimate a defensible growth-rate input for DDM and DCF models. SGR is the growth a business funds entirely from retained earnings — over the long run, actual growth cannot exceed SGR without raising new capital or improving ROE.

Calculator

Formula

g=ROE×(1Payout)g = \text{ROE} \times (1 - \text{Payout})

Variables

SymbolNameDescriptionUnit
SGRSustainable Growth RateInternally-fundable growth rate, as a decimal%
ROEReturn on EquityNet income ÷ shareholders' equity, as a decimal%
PayoutPayout RatioDividends ÷ earnings, as a decimal%

Real-Life Examples

Example 1: High-ROE Company, 30% Payout

Company has 20% ROE and pays out 30% of earnings as dividends.

Given

ROE = 0.2Payout = 0.3

Step-by-Step

1.Retention ratio = 1 − 0.30 = 0.70
2.SGR = 0.20 × 0.70 = 0.14 = 14.00%
Result:0.14

Sustainable growth is 14% — the company can grow earnings 14% per year using only retained profits. Faster growth requires either higher ROE, lower payout, or new external capital (debt or equity).

Frequently Asked Questions

A company's book equity grows by retained earnings: ΔEquity = NetIncome × (1 − Payout). Returns on that equity grow at ROE, so earnings growth ≈ ROE × retention. The math captures the self-funding limit.

The company is leveraging up (issuing debt) or diluting (issuing equity) to fund the gap. Either is fine for a period, but unsustainable indefinitely — eventually the leverage runs out or the dilution destroys per-share value.

The Gordon model assumes perpetual constant growth. SGR is the realistic upper bound for that g. Plug SGR into Gordon (rather than guessing a higher growth rate) and the result is a defensible intrinsic-value estimate anchored to the company's actual capital efficiency.