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Sustainable Growth Rate

Sustainable Growth Rate

A simple retained-earnings growth estimate: ROE multiplied by the earnings retention ratio (1 − payout). It assumes stable profitability and financing policies.

When to use: Use to estimate a defensible growth-rate input for DDM and DCF models. SGR is the growth a business funds entirely from retained earnings — over the long run, actual growth cannot exceed SGR without raising new capital or improving ROE.

Calculator

Formula

g=ROE×(1−Payout)g = \text{ROE} \times (1 - \text{Payout})

Variables

SymbolNameDescriptionUnit
SGRSustainable Growth RateInternally-fundable growth rate, as a decimal%
ROEReturn on EquityNet income ÷ shareholders' equity, as a decimal%
PayoutPayout RatioDividends ÷ earnings, as a decimal%

Real-Life Examples

Example 1: High-ROE Company, 30% Payout

Company has 20% ROE and pays out 30% of earnings as dividends.

Given

ROE = 20.0000%Payout = 30.0000%

Step-by-Step

1.Retention ratio = 1 − 0.30 = 0.70
2.SGR = 0.20 × 0.70 = 0.14 = 14.00%
Result:14.0000%

Sustainable growth is 14% — the company can grow earnings 14% per year using only retained profits. Faster growth requires either higher ROE, lower payout, or new external capital (debt or equity).

Frequently Asked Questions

No. It is a stylized estimate under stable ROE, payout, leverage and operating policies. Different beginning-versus-ending equity conventions can require a different sustainable-growth formula.

Use common dividends divided by matching common earnings for the same period; loss years and payouts beyond earnings need separate interpretation.